Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Lautaro MidonBastad Round of 32

Bastad · ATP · Round of 32
#87ATP
1681ELO
1668Clay ELO
$294kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 1st on
#193ATP
1526ELO
1508Clay ELO
22 yrs · 180 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWLW
Diaz Acosta F.
6-3 4-6 2-6
Midon L.
Diaz Acosta F.
6421
Midon L.
3662

Lautaro Midon advanced to the next round at Bastad with a three-set win over Facundo Diaz Acosta in the Round of 32. Midon took the match 3-6, 6-4, 6-2. He hit 6 aces to Diaz Acosta's 2 and converted 44% of his break points compared to Diaz Acosta's 38%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
54%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
3.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
5
37
Break points saved·Dominant
72
28
Break points won·Dominant
16
63
Deciding sets·Dominant
4
62
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
25
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Diaz Acosta F.75%
Midon L.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Diaz Acosta F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0+160 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1508
6.9Overall Elo 1680
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1526
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.98 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
68

Diaz Acosta F.: 18 days rest · Midon L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw