Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel SchwaerzlerGstaad Round of 32

Gstaad · ATP · Round of 32
#88ATP
1719ELO
1635Clay ELO
$448kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 1st on
#150ATP
1577ELO
1537Clay ELO
$102kYTD
$301kCAREER
20 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWL
Sonego L.
6-4 7-6
Schwaerzler J.
Sonego L.
672
Schwaerzler J.
460

Lorenzo Sonego defeated Joel Schwaerzler in the Round of 32 at the Gstaad tournament on clay. Sonego won the match 6-4, 7-6, with 8 aces and 2 double faults, while Schwaerzler had 5 aces and 1 double fault. Sonego converted 25% of break points and secured 1 service break, compared to Schwaerzler's 0 breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
68%
Aces / match·Even
6.9
6.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
47
55
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
89
Break points won·Clear edge
19
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
52
83
Tiebreaks·Even
78
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Sonego L.67%
Schwaerzler J.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sonego L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+97 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Clay Elo 1537
6.8Overall Elo 1719
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1577
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.83 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.53 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
67

Sonego L.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Schwaerzler J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw