Tiago Pereira vs Miguel TobonPozoblanco Round of 32

Pozoblanco · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#349ATP
1179ELO
1142Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
PISTA 3 · 2nd on
#449ATP
1328ELO
1301Hard ELO
20 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLWL
Pereira T.
6-4 6-7 6-3
Tobon M.
Pereira T.
6662
Tobon M.
4731

Tiago Pereira defeated Miguel Tobon in the Round of 32 at the Pozoblanco hard-court tournament, winning 6-4, 6-7, 6-3. Pereira converted 50% of his break points and secured three service breaks, while Tobon converted all of his break points but only managed one service break. The match saw Pereira hit three aces and one double fault, compared to Tobon's six aces and one double fault.

Key context

  • Match story: Tiago Pereira closed it out in three sets, 6–4 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
48%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.4
5.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Pereira T.12%
Tobon M.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tobon M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1142
Surface ELO
7.0+158 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1179
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1328
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.32 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
99
56

Pereira T.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tobon M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 89 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
32°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 23%

Draw