Karl Poling vs Kenta Miyoshi — Granby Qualifying Final

Granby · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
USA5
Karl Poling
#491ATP
1314ELO
1320Hard ELO
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 4 · 2nd on
JPN
Kenta Miyoshi
#495ATP
1476ELO
1447Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
Poling K.
6-7 7-5 5-7
Miyoshi K.
Poling K.
6751
Miyoshi K.
7572

Kenta Miyoshi won the final of the Granby hard-court tournament, defeating Karl Poling 7-6, 5-7, 7-5. Miyoshi served 15 aces to Poling's zero and had a first-serve win percentage of 70%, compared to Poling's 66%. Both players converted four service breaks, with Miyoshi converting 33% of break points and Poling converting 22%.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-10M25 LavalQFhardKenta Miyoshi3-6 4-6

Statistics

This season
Poling K.Miyoshi K.
1st serve in·Clear edge
67%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Poling K.13%
Miyoshi K.87%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Miyoshi K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Poling K.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Miyoshi K.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1320
Surface ELO
6.6+126 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1314
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1476
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
7.48 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.95 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Poling K.Miyoshi K.
Freshness·Dominant
85
59

Poling K.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Miyoshi K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 80 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw