Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro MidonBastad Qualifying Final

Bastad · ATP · Qualifying Final
#316ATP
1517ELO
1505Clay ELO
29 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRE COURT · 1st on
#193ATP
1526ELO
1508Clay ELO
22 yrs · 180 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWLWL
Ribeiro Marcondes I.
6-7 5-7
Midon L.
Ribeiro Marcondes I.
650
Midon L.
772

Lautaro Midon won the Bastad final on clay, defeating Igor Ribeiro Marcondes 7-6, 7-5. Midon hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, winning 83% of his first-serve points and converting all of his break points. Midon broke Marcondes' serve twice, while Marcondes broke once.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Even
54%
54%
Aces / match·Even
3.7
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Ribeiro Marcondes I.44%
Midon L.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1505
Surface ELO
5.0+3 Clay Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1517
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1526
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.36 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
80

Ribeiro Marcondes I.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Midon L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw