Yibing Wu vs Patrick Maloney — Lincoln Qualifying Semi-final

Lincoln · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
Yibing Wu
CHN1
Yibing Wu
#118ATP
1743ELO
1741Hard ELO
$477kYTD
$1.9MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 4th on
USA
Patrick Maloney
#970ATP
1321ELO
1273Hard ELO
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWL
Wu Y.
7-6 6-3
Maloney P.
Wu Y.
762
Maloney P.
630

Yibing Wu defeated Patrick Maloney in the semifinals of the Lincoln tournament, winning 7-6, 6-3 on hard courts. The victory advanced Wu to the final.

Key context

  • Match story: Yibing Wu closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Wu Y.Maloney P.
1st serve in·
59%
—
1st serve points won·
71%
—
2nd serve points won·
54%
—
Service points won·
64%
—
Return points won·
39%
—
Break points saved·
59%
—
Aces / match·
4.5
—
Double faults / match·
2.1
—

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Wu Y.95%
Maloney P.5%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Wu Y. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Wu Y.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Maloney P.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+468 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1273
10.0Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1321
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
6.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.93 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Wu Y.Maloney P.
Freshness·
86
—

Wu Y.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw