Sofya Lansere vs Elena Malygina — Rome Round of 32

Rome · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Sofya Lansere
RUS
Sofya Lansere
#262WTA
1394ELO
1305Clay ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
Elena Malygina
ESTQ
Elena Malygina
#314WTA
1378ELO
1270Clay ELO
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWL
Lansere S.
4-6 6-1 6-4
Malygina E.
Lansere S.
4662
Malygina E.
6141

Sofya Lansere defeated Elena Malygina in the Round of 32 at the Rome tournament on clay, winning 4-6, 6-1, 6-4. Lansere hit 3 aces and 14 double faults, while converting 56% of her break points and winning 57% of her first-serve points. Lansere secured 10 service breaks to Malygina's 7.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01W75 Bratislava 1R32hardSofya Lansere7-6(4) 7-5
2021-03-10W25 KazanR32hardSofya Lansere6-3 5-7 7-5

Statistics

This season
Lansere S.Malygina E.
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Service points won·Even
52%
56%
Return points won·Even
49%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
46%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Lansere S.59%
Malygina E.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Lansere S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Lansere S.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Malygina E.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+35 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1270
5.2Overall Elo 1394
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1378
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw