Francesco Passaro vs Martin KrumichBastad Qualifying Final

Bastad · ATP · Qualifying Final
#222ATP
1592ELO
1578Clay ELO
$91kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 1st on
#255ATP
1459ELO
1423Clay ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWLWL
Passaro F.
4-6 3-6
Krumich M.
Passaro F.
430
Krumich M.
662

Martin Krumich won the Bastad final, defeating Francesco Passaro 6-4, 6-3. Krumich hit 3 aces and 1 double fault, while Passaro had 1 ace and 2 double faults. Krumich converted 3 of 16 break points and won 90% of his first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
65%
Aces / match·Even
5.3
5.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
24
Break points saved·Clear edge
89
70
Break points won·Dominant
11
53
Deciding sets·Dominant
81
9
Tiebreaks·Dominant
84
22

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Passaro F.71%
Krumich M.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Passaro F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.9+155 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Clay Elo 1423
6.7Overall Elo 1592
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1459
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
100

Passaro F.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Krumich M.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw