Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Federica UrgesiRome Round of 32

Rome · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#417WTA
1244ELO
1222Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
#282WTA
1546ELO
1532Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLLW
Kotliar Y.
3-6 0-6
Urgesi F.
Kotliar Y.
300
Urgesi F.
662

Federica Urgesi defeated Yelyzaveta Kotliar in the Round of 32 at the Rome tournament, winning 6-3, 6-0. Urgesi served one ace and committed three double faults, while Kotliar had none of the former and 12 of the latter. Urgesi converted 88% of her break points and won seven service breaks to Kotliar's two.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Service points won·Even
53%
55%
Return points won·Even
51%
47%
Break points saved·Even
51%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.3
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Kotliar Y.11%
Urgesi F.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Urgesi F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.1Clay Elo 1222
Surface ELO
8.9+310 Clay Elo edge
1.2Overall Elo 1244
ELO gap
8.8Overall Elo 1546
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Kotliar Y.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw