Magda Linette vs Mai HontamaAthens Round of 32

Athens · WTA · Round of 32
#62WTA
1831ELO
1780Hard ELO
$732kYTD
$8.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
#171WTA
1480ELO
1442Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Linette M.
4-6 5-7
Hontama M.
Linette M.
450
Hontama M.
672

Mai Hontama defeated Magda Linette in the Round of 32 of the Athens hard-court tournament, winning 6-4, 7-5. Hontama and Linette recorded no aces and three aces, respectively, while Hontama hit three double faults to Linette's one. Hontama converted 67 percent of her break points and won six service breaks to Linette's four.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Service points won·Even
58%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Break points saved·Even
53%
51%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.9
0.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
29
Break points saved·Even
25
27
Break points won·Dominant
70
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
28
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
87
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Linette M.85%
Hontama M.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Linette M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.2+338 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Hard Elo 1442
9.4Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
0.6Overall Elo 1480
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
100

Linette M.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Hontama M.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32°CMainly clear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw