Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro DanielBastad Qualifying Final

Bastad · ATP · Qualifying Final
#360ATP
1360ELO
1341Clay ELO
26 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRE COURT · 2nd on
#186ATP
1567ELO
1542Clay ELO
$64kYTD
$5.1MCAREER
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWWW
Sanchez Jover C.
2-6 6-2 2-6
Daniel T.
Sanchez Jover C.
2621
Daniel T.
6262

Taro Daniel won the Bastad final on clay, defeating Carlos Sanchez Jover 6-2, 2-6, 6-2. Daniel served three aces and committed one double fault, while Sanchez Jover had none of either. Daniel converted 36% of his break points and broke Sanchez Jover's serve five times, compared to Sanchez Jover's three breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Taro Daniel closed it out in three sets, 6–2 2–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Service points won·Even
58%
62%
Return points won·Even
43%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
28
20
Break points saved·Dominant
26
77
Break points won·Clear edge
52
34
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
8
Tiebreaks·Dominant
21
53

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Sanchez Jover C.26%
Daniel T.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Daniel T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.5Clay Elo 1341
Surface ELO
7.5+201 Clay Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1360
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1567
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.69 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
86

Sanchez Jover C.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Daniel T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 75%

Draw