Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatov

Gstaad · ATP · Round of 32

BEL7

Raphael Collignon

#38ATP

1894ELO

1813Clay ELO

$642kYTD

$1.5MCAREER

24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLLLWWWLLL

2 — 1

Sets

Monday, 13 July 2026 · 15:00

clay

COURT 1 · 3rd on

KAZQ

Timofey Skatov

#149ATP

1544ELO

1531Clay ELO

$110kYTD

$1.1MCAREER

25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLWWLWLLWW

Collignon R.

3-6 7-6 6-4

Skatov T.

Collignon R.

3762

Skatov T.

6641

Raphael Collignon defeated Timofey Skatov in the Round of 32 at the Gstaad clay court tournament. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 in favor of Collignon. Collignon hit 17 aces and committed 10 double faults, while Skatov hit 1 ace and 0 double faults.

Key context

Match story: Raphael Collignon dropped the opening set before beating Timofey Skatov 3–6 7–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Collignon R.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Skatov T.

Skatov T.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Collignon R.

Serve advantage — Collignon R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Collignon R.Skatov T.

Serve

Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season

Collignon R.Skatov T.

1st serve in·Even

64%

61%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

78%

71%

2nd serve points won·Even

49%

52%

Service points won·Slight edge

68%

63%

Return points won·Even

36%

38%

Break points saved·Even

61%

57%

Aces / match·Dominant

6.9

3.2

Double faults / match·Clear edge

3.7

2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Collignon R.Skatov T.

Clutch Rating·Dominant

Break points saved·Clear edge

Break points won·Dominant

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·Slight edge

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC

Collignon R.90%

Skatov T.10%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Collignon R. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Collignon R.

6.4

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Skatov T.

4.6

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

8.5+282 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

1.5Clay Elo 1531

9.4Overall Elo 1894

ELO gap

0.6Overall Elo 1544

3.0Trails 0–1 on clay

H2H

7.0Leads 1–0 on clay

6.47 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

6.67 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 3

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

3.0Grass → Clay

Surface transition

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Collignon R.Skatov T.

Freshness·Slight edge

100

Collignon R.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Skatov T.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Mediumbalanced pace

SlowFast

Weather

30°COvercast

Wind 10 km/hHumidity 39%

Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatov — Gstaad Round of 32

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Serve & return on clay

Statistics

Clutch

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return

Serve & return on clay