Rio Noguchi vs Charles Broom — Lincoln Round of 32

Lincoln · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Rio Noguchi
JPN
Rio Noguchi
#213ATP
1532ELO
1513Hard ELO
27 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 7 · 3rd on
GBR
Charles Broom
#289ATP
1409ELO
1396Hard ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLLW
Noguchi R.
6-2 4-6 7-5
Broom C.
Noguchi R.
6472
Broom C.
2651

Rio Noguchi defeated Charles Broom in the Round of 32 at the Lincoln hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 4-6, 7-5 in favor of Noguchi.

Key context

  • Match story: Rio Noguchi closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Noguchi R.Broom C.
1st serve in·Even
68%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.0
8.6
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Noguchi R.Broom C.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
23
12
Break points saved·Dominant
25
56
Break points won·Dominant
26
0
Deciding sets·Dominant
82
42
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
4
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Noguchi R.70%
Broom C.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Noguchi R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Noguchi R.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Broom C.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+116 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1396
6.5Overall Elo 1532
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1409
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.74 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.76 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Noguchi R.Broom C.
Freshness·Slight edge
69
79

Noguchi R.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d) · Broom C.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw