Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Filippo RomanoBunschoten Round of 32

Bunschoten · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#230ATP
1476ELO
1438Clay ELO
20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#306ATP
1470ELO
1342Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLLLL
Arnaud Bailly G.
6-2 4-6 2-6
Romano F.
Arnaud Bailly G.
6421
Romano F.
2662

Filippo Romano defeated Gilles Arnaud Bailly in the Round of 32 at the Bunschoten clay court tournament. The match ended with a score of 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 in favor of Romano. Key stats included 5 aces and 2 double faults for Romano, compared to 2 aces and 3 double faults for Bailly.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.6
5.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Arnaud Bailly G.56%
Romano F.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.2+96 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Clay Elo 1342
5.1Overall Elo 1476
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1470
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.03 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.34 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
89

Arnaud Bailly G.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Romano F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw