Chris Rodesch vs Mert AlkayaPozoblanco Round of 32

Pozoblanco · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#153ATP
1622ELO
1623Hard ELO
$163kYTD
$424kCAREER
25 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
PISTA FABIAN DORADO PISTA 2 · 3rd on
#298ATP
1358ELO
1337Hard ELO
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWL
Rodesch C.
7-6 4-6 6-4
Alkaya M.
Rodesch C.
7462
Alkaya M.
6641

Chris Rodesch defeated Mert Alkaya in the Round of 32 at Pozoblanco, a hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 in favor of Rodesch. Both players recorded 10 aces and 1 service break, with Rodesch converting 50% of break points and Alkaya converting 20%.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-03M15 Monastir 40R16hardChris Rodesch6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
71%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.0
4.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Rodesch C.87%
Alkaya M.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Rodesch C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+287 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Hard Elo 1337
8.3Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1358
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.04 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Alkaya M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 30%

Draw