Lilli Tagger vs Madison SiegAthens Qualifying Final

Athens · WTA · Qualifying Final
#48WTA
1684ELO
1687Hard ELO
18 yrs · 185 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
hard
#344WTA
1237ELO
1228Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWW
Tagger L.
6-0 6-3
Sieg M.
Tagger L.
662
Sieg M.
030

Lilli Tagger defeated Madison Sieg in the final of the Athens hard-court tournament, winning 6-0, 6-3. Tagger converted 56% of her break points and secured five service breaks, compared to none for Sieg. Tagger and Sieg each hit one ace, with Tagger committing one double fault to Sieg's three.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
49%
Break points saved·Even
55%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.5
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (46 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Tagger L.95%
Sieg M.5%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tagger L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
10.0+460 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1228
10.0Overall Elo 1684
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1237
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
79

Tagger L.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
35°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 29%

Draw