Claire Liu vs Maria Sara PopaIasi Qualifying Semi-final

Iasi · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#114WTA
1669ELO
1623Clay ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
#430WTA
1412ELO
1395Clay ELO
21 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWLW
Liu C.
6-3 6-4
Sara Popa M.
Liu C.
662
Sara Popa M.
340

Claire Liu defeated Maria Sara Popa 6-3, 6-4 in the semifinals of the Iasi tournament on clay. Liu hit 3 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Popa had 10 double faults. Liu won the match with 3 service breaks to Popa's 1.

Key context

  • Match story: Claire Liu closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
43%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
48%
Break points saved·Even
54%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Liu C.80%
Sara Popa M.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Liu C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+228 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Clay Elo 1395
8.2Overall Elo 1669
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1412
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.15 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Liu C.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw