Zhibek Kulambayeva vs Lisa ZaarIasi Qualifying Semi-final

Iasi · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#486WTA
1402ELO
1391Clay ELO
26 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
#339WTA
1527ELO
1499Clay ELO
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLLLL
Kulambayeva Z.
7-6 6-3
Zaar L.
Kulambayeva Z.
762
Zaar L.
630

Zhibek Kulambayeva defeated Lisa Zaar in the semifinals of the Iasi tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 6-3. Kulambayeva and Zaar did not hit any aces, with Kulambayeva committing three double faults to Zaar's zero. Kulambayeva converted 83% of her break points and broke Zaar's serve five times, while Zaar broke Kulambayeva's serve four times.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-07W15 Kursumlijska Banja 10FclayZhibek Kulambayeva2-6 6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
73%
80%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
42%
Service points won·Even
55%
54%
Return points won·Even
50%
53%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.8
0.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Kulambayeva Z.33%
Zaar L.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zaar L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Clay Elo 1391
Surface ELO
6.4+108 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1402
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1527
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.53 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.15 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°CMainly clear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw