Aoi Ito vs Yasmine MansouriAthens Qualifying Final

Athens · WTA · Qualifying Final
#289WTA
1549ELO
1568Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
hard
#376WTA
1303ELO
1298Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLW
Ito A.
6-4 6-0
Mansouri Y.
Ito A.
662
Mansouri Y.
400

Aoi Ito won the Athens final, defeating Yasmine Mansouri 6-4, 6-0. Ito served one ace and one double fault, while Mansouri had no aces and six double faults. Ito converted 71% of her break points and broke Mansouri's serve five times, compared to Mansouri's one service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
52%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.3
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Ito A.84%
Mansouri Y.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Ito A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.4+270 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Hard Elo 1298
8.1Overall Elo 1549
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1303
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.67 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Ito A.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
35°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 29%

Draw