Maria Kozyreva vs Alevtina Ibragimova — Iasi Qualifying Semi-final

Iasi · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
RUS
Maria Kozyreva
#580WTA
1285ELO
1250Clay ELO
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 6 · 5th on
RUS7
Alevtina Ibragimova
#218WTA
1508ELO
1472Clay ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Kozyreva M.
2-6 0-6
Ibragimova A.
Kozyreva M.
200
Ibragimova A.
662

Alevtina Ibragimova defeated Maria Kozyreva 6-2, 6-0 in the semifinals of the Iasi clay tournament. Ibragimova recorded 2 aces and 2 double faults, while Kozyreva had 1 ace and 5 double faults. Ibragimova converted 43% of her break points and won 6 service breaks, compared to Kozyreva's 25% conversion rate and 1 service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Kozyreva M.Ibragimova A.
1st serve in·Even
68%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
36%
44%
Service points won·Even
52%
54%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Kozyreva M.18%
Ibragimova A.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Ibragimova A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kozyreva M.
3.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Ibragimova A.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.2Clay Elo 1250
Surface ELO
7.8+222 Clay Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1285
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1508
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.43 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kozyreva M.Ibragimova A.
Freshness·
—
100

Ibragimova A.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw