Nao Hibino vs Miriana TonaAthens Qualifying Final

Athens · WTA · Qualifying Final
#225WTA
1560ELO
1523Hard ELO
31 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
hard
#355WTA
1275ELO
1276Hard ELO
31 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWW
Hibino N.
6-4 6-0
Tona M.
Hibino N.
662
Tona M.
400

Nao Hibino won the Athens final on hard courts, defeating Miriana Tona 6-4, 6-0. Hibino did not hit an ace but converted 50% of her break points, securing five service breaks. Tona hit two aces and converted all her break point opportunities but was limited to one service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Hibino N.84%
Tona M.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Hibino N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.1+248 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.9Hard Elo 1276
8.6Overall Elo 1560
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1275
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.88 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Hibino N.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
35°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 29%

Draw