Amandine Hesse vs Yelyzaveta KotliarRome Qualifying Final

Rome · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#418WTA
1433ELO
1376Clay ELO
33 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
#417WTA
1244ELO
1222Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWLW
Hesse A.
3-6 7-5 3-6
Kotliar Y.
Hesse A.
3731
Kotliar Y.
6562

Yelyzaveta Kotliar defeated Amandine Hesse in the final of the Rome clay tournament, winning 6-3, 5-7, 6-3. Kotliar hit one ace and 15 double faults, while Hesse had six aces and nine double faults. Kotliar converted 38% of her break points and won eight service breaks to Hesse's six.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
51%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
40%
Service points won·Even
54%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
50%
Break points saved·Even
51%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
0.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Hesse A.89%
Kotliar Y.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Hesse A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+154 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Clay Elo 1222
7.4Overall Elo 1433
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1244
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.02 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Kotliar Y.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
34°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 30%

Draw