Elmer Moller vs Thomas FaurelBastad Qualifying Semi-final

Bastad · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#172ATP
1609ELO
1593Clay ELO
$155kYTD
$727kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 · 3rd on
#331ATP
1459ELO
1424Clay ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLLW
Moller E.
3-6 4-6
Faurel T.
Moller E.
340
Faurel T.
662

Thomas Faurel defeated Elmer Moller 6-3, 6-4 in the Bastad semifinals. Faurel did not hit an ace and committed zero double faults, while Moller had one ace and 14 double faults. Faurel converted 25% of his break points and won four service breaks to Moller's two.

Key context

  • Match story: Thomas Faurel closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.9
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Moller E.73%
Faurel T.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Moller E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+169 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1424
6.9Overall Elo 1609
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1459
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.27 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.05 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
87
70

Moller E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Faurel T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw