Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel — Bastad Qualifying Semi-final

Bastad · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
Federico Coria
ARGPR
Federico Coria
#839ATP
1537ELO
1515Clay ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 3rd on
Taro Daniel
JPN5
Taro Daniel
#186ATP
1567ELO
1542Clay ELO
$64kYTD
$5.1MCAREER
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
Coria F.
0-6 2-6
Daniel T.
Coria F.
020
Daniel T.
662

Taro Daniel defeated Federico Coria in the Bastad semifinals, winning 6-0, 6-2 on clay. Daniel converted 62% of his break points and secured five service breaks, while Coria did not convert any break points. Daniel had one ace and no double faults, compared to Coria's two aces and two double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Coria F.Daniel T.
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
4.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Coria F.Daniel T.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
50
20
Break points saved·Dominant
33
77
Break points won·Dominant
76
34
Deciding sets·Dominant
81
8
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
67
52

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Coria F.40%
Daniel T.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Daniel T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Coria F.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Daniel T.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1515
Surface ELO
5.3+27 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1567
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
4.04 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.59 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Coria F.Daniel T.
Freshness·
—
69

Daniel T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw