Barbora Palicova vs Martina ColmegnaKitzbuhel Qualifying Final

Kitzbuhel · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#238WTA
1380ELO
1374Clay ELO
22 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
#341WTA
1277ELO
1266Clay ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWWWL
Palicova B.
3-6 6-7
Colmegna M.
Palicova B.
360
Colmegna M.
672

Martina Colmegna won the Kitzbuhel final, defeating Barbora Palicova 6-3, 7-6. Colmegna hit one ace and two double faults, while Palicova had none of the former and nine of the latter. Colmegna converted 70% of her break points and won seven service breaks to Palicova's five.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
60%
74%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
52%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
0.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Palicova B.73%
Colmegna M.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Palicova B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+108 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Clay Elo 1266
6.3Overall Elo 1380
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1277
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
24°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw