Federico Cina vs Calvin Hemery — Gstaad Qualifying Final

Gstaad · ATP · Qualifying Final
ITA3
Federico Cina
#174ATP
1630ELO
1590Clay ELO
$296kYTD
$536kCAREER
19 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 1st on
FRA8
Calvin Hemery
#326ATP
1439ELO
1449Clay ELO
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLLLW
Cina F.
6-4 6-3
Hemery C.
Cina F.
662
Hemery C.
430

Federico Cina won the Gstaad final, defeating Calvin Hemery 6-4, 6-3. Cina converted 43% of his break points and secured three service breaks, compared to none for Hemery. Cina and Hemery were even in aces (2 each) and nearly matched in first-serve win percentage (76% to 74%).

Key context

  • Match story: Federico Cina closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Cina F.Hemery C.
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
6.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cina F.Hemery C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
42
13
Break points saved·Dominant
87
35
Break points won·Clear edge
32
14
Deciding sets·Clear edge
52
30
Tiebreaks·Dominant
28
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Cina F.78%
Hemery C.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Cina F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cina F.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Hemery C.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.8+141 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Clay Elo 1449
7.4Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1439
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.56 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cina F.Hemery C.
Freshness·
85
—

Cina F.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw