Gonzalo Bueno vs Igor Ribeiro MarcondesBastad Qualifying Semi-final

Bastad · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#178ATP
1491ELO
1469Clay ELO
$136kYTD
$352kCAREER
22 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 · 1st on
#316ATP
1517ELO
1505Clay ELO
29 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLLLW
Bueno G.
4-6 6-7
Ribeiro Marcondes I.
Bueno G.
460
Ribeiro Marcondes I.
672

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes advanced to the Bastad semifinals with a 6-4, 7-6 win over Gonzalo Bueno. Marcondes hit 2 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Bueno had 1 ace and 4 double faults. Marcondes converted 40% of his break points and broke Bueno's serve twice, compared to Bueno's single service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
64%
Return points won·Even
44%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.3
3.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Bueno G.45%
Ribeiro Marcondes I.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1469
Surface ELO
5.4+36 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1491
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1517
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.42 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
88

Bueno G.: 16 days rest · Ribeiro Marcondes I.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw