Roberto Carballes Baena vs Carlos Sanchez JoverBastad Qualifying Semi-final

Bastad · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#190ATP
1632ELO
1612Clay ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWLW
0 — 1
Sets
Retired
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 4th on
#360ATP
1360ELO
1341Clay ELO
26 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWL
Carballes Baena R.
3-6 0-3
Sanchez Jover C.
Carballes Baena R.
300
Sanchez Jover C.
631

Carlos Sanchez Jover advanced to the Bastad semifinals after Roberto Carballes Baena retired during their match. At the time of retirement, Sanchez Jover led 6-3, 3-0. Sanchez Jover converted 44% of his break points and won 69% of his first-serve points.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Even
39%
42%
Break points saved·Even
58%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
1.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
36
28
Break points saved·Dominant
82
26
Break points won·Clear edge
32
52
Deciding sets·Clear edge
52
64
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
35
21

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Carballes Baena R.80%
Sanchez Jover C.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Carballes Baena R. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+271 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Clay Elo 1341
8.4Overall Elo 1632
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1360
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.77 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
94

Carballes Baena R.: 20 days rest · Sanchez Jover C.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw