Greet Minnen vs Katie VolynetsNewport Semi-final

Newport · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#178WTA
1723ELO
1678Grass ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 11 July 2026 ·
grass
#89WTA
1786ELO
1648Grass ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Minnen G.
3-6 2-6
Volynets K.
Minnen G.
320
Volynets K.
662

Katie Volynets defeated Greet Minnen in the semifinals of the Newport grass tournament, winning 6-3, 6-2. Volynets did not hit an ace, while Minnen had one; Volynets had one double fault, Minnen had two. Volynets won 69% of her first-serve points to Minnen's 36%, and she converted 56% of her break points to Minnen's 67%, with Volynets securing five service breaks to Minnen's two.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
75%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
51%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 50). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
29
14
Break points saved·Even
13
10
Break points won·Slight edge
88
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
7
Tiebreaks·Even
18
17

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Minnen G.40%
Volynets K.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Volynets K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+30 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Grass Elo 1648
4.2Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1786
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
7.47 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.18 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
90

Minnen G.: 21 days rest · Volynets K.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw