Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Tatjana MariaNewport Semi-final

Newport · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#105WTA
1696ELO
1592Grass ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 11 July 2026 ·
grass
#80WTA
1703ELO
1688Grass ELO
39 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Sawangkaew M.
2-6 1-6
Maria T.
Sawangkaew M.
210
Maria T.
662

Tatjana Maria advanced to the final of the Newport grass tournament, defeating Mananchaya Sawangkaew in the semifinals. Maria won the match 6-2, 6-1, dominating with 86% of first-serve points won and converting 71% of break points. Maria secured 5 service breaks to Sawangkaew's 1, and hit 4 aces to her opponent's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
47%
43%
Break points saved·Even
58%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.2
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (58 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
84
2
Break points saved·Dominant
74
4
Break points won·Clear edge
92
70
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
3
Tiebreaks·
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Sawangkaew M.52%
Maria T.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.8Grass Elo 1592
Surface ELO
6.2+96 Grass Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1696
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1702
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.38 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.08 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
88

Sawangkaew M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Maria T.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw