Valentin Royer vs Titouan DroguetIasi Semi-final

Iasi · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#78ATP
1641ELO
1606Clay ELO
$521kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 11 July 2026 ·
clay
#111ATP
1717ELO
1681Clay ELO
$295kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Royer V.
3-6 4-6
Droguet T.
Royer V.
340
Droguet T.
662

Titouan Droguet advanced to the final of the Iasi tournament, defeating Valentin Royer in the semifinals. Droguet won the match 6-3, 6-4, with a strong serving performance that included 8 aces and no double faults. Droguet converted 3 of 10 break points and won 3 service breaks to Royer's 1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersQ1hardValentin Royer6-1 6-2
2025-06-30WimbledonQ3grassValentin Royer6-3 6-4 6-2
2025-06-26WimbledonQ32grassValentin Royer6-3 6-4 6-2
2025-01-27MontpellierQ1hardTitouan Droguet4-6 6-3 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.5
8.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
59
64
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
88
Break points won·Clear edge
30
17
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
62
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Royer V.32%
Droguet T.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Droguet T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1606
Surface ELO
5.9+75 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1641
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1717
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
6.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
70
76

Royer V.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d) · Droguet T.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
18°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw