Lorenzo Giustino vs Miguel DamasLiege Semi-final

Liege · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#195ATP
1420ELO
1355Clay ELO
$101kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 11 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRE COURT · 2nd on
#302ATP
1398ELO
1370Clay ELO
26 yrs · 208 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWWWL
Giustino L.
7-6 6-3
Damas M.
Giustino L.
762
Damas M.
630

Lorenzo Giustino defeated Miguel Damas in the semifinals of the Liege tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 6-3 in Giustino's favor. Giustino advanced to the next round with the win.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-15M25 Gijon 1SFclayLorenzo Giustino6-1 6-3
2025-05-17M25 Vic 1SFclayLorenzo Giustino6-1 3-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
1.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
0
0
Break points saved·Even
32
29
Break points won·Slight edge
9
17
Deciding sets·Slight edge
10
1
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
40

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Giustino L.47%
Damas M.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1355
Surface ELO
5.2+15 Clay Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1420
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1398
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
6.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.94 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
89

Giustino L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Damas M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 36%

Draw