Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj — Gstaad Qualifying Semi-final

Gstaad · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
ITA3
Federico Cina
#174ATP
1630ELO
1590Clay ELO
$296kYTD
$536kCAREER
19 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 11 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 3rd on
GER
Patrick Zahraj
#413ATP
1331ELO
1259Clay ELO
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
Cina F.
7-5 6-3
Zahraj P.
Cina F.
762
Zahraj P.
530

Federico Cina defeated Patrick Zahraj in the semifinals of the Gstaad tournament, winning 7-5, 6-3 on clay. Cina served 2 aces and 1 double fault, while Zahraj had 5 aces and 4 double faults. Cina converted 29% of break points and won 75% of first-serve points, breaking Zahraj's serve twice to Zahraj's zero.

Key context

  • Match story: Federico Cina closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Cina F.Zahraj P.
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
58%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Even
3.9
3.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cina F.Zahraj P.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
42
20
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
69
Break points won·Clear edge
32
10
Deciding sets·Dominant
52
7
Tiebreaks·Dominant
28
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Cina F.88%
Zahraj P.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Cina F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cina F.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Zahraj P.
3.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
9.1+331 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.9Clay Elo 1259
8.7Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
1.3Overall Elo 1331
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.06 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.82 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cina F.Zahraj P.
Freshness·Even
91
89

Cina F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Zahraj P.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw