Marco Cecchinato vs Duje AjdukovicUmag Qualifying Semi-final

Umag · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#173ATP
1576ELO
1546Clay ELO
$167kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 11 July 2026 ·
clay
STUDENAC ARENA COURT 1 · 1st on
#304ATP
1480ELO
1462Clay ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLL
Cecchinato M.
6-3 6-4
Ajdukovic D.
Cecchinato M.
662
Ajdukovic D.
340

Marco Cecchinato advanced to the Umag semifinals with a 6-3, 6-4 win over Duje Ajdukovic. Cecchinato converted 43% of his break points and won 91% of his first-serve points. He secured three service breaks to Ajdukovic's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
58%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
66%
49%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
39
32
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
59
Break points won·Clear edge
13
32
Deciding sets·Even
59
60
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
21

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Cecchinato M.64%
Ajdukovic D.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Cecchinato M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+84 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Clay Elo 1462
6.2Overall Elo 1576
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1480
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
92

Cecchinato M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Ajdukovic D.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
30°CPartly cloudy
Wind 26 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw