Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona WaltertBastad Semi-final

Bastad · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#110WTA
1757ELO
1714Clay ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 10 July 2026 ·
clay
#87WTA
1670ELO
1654Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWLL
Quevedo K.
5-7 2-6
Waltert S.
Quevedo K.
520
Waltert S.
762

Simona Waltert defeated Kaitlin Quevedo 7-5, 6-2 in the Bastad semifinals. Waltert converted 58% of her break points and won 66% of her first-serve points, while Quevedo converted 50% of her break points and won 48% of her first-serve points. Waltert secured 7 service breaks to Quevedo's 4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
54
78
Break points saved·Dominant
30
79
Break points won·Clear edge
77
94
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
80
Tiebreaks·
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Quevedo K.66%
Waltert S.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Quevedo K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.7+60 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1654
6.1Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1670
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.18 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.05 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
81

Quevedo K.: 16 days rest · Waltert S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw