Lukas Neumayer vs Henri Squire — Trieste Quarter-final

Trieste · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
AUT3
Lukas Neumayer
#171ATP
1621ELO
1598Clay ELO
$136kYTD
$576kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 10 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
GER
Henri Squire
#208ATP
1511ELO
1490Clay ELO
25 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLL
Neumayer L.
2-6 3-6
Squire H.
Neumayer L.
230
Squire H.
662

Henri Squire defeated Lukas Neumayer in the quarterfinals of the Trieste tournament on clay, winning 6-2, 6-3. Squire hit 9 aces and 7 double faults, while winning 73% of his first serves and converting 33% of break points. He converted four service breaks to Neumayer's one.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-21M25 Prague 1FclayLukas Neumayer6-2 6-3

Statistics

This season
Neumayer L.Squire H.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
5.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Neumayer L.Squire H.
Clutch Rating·Even
40
40
Break points saved·Clear edge
71
87
Break points won·Dominant
62
12
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
65
Tiebreaks·Dominant
86
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Neumayer L.73%
Squire H.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Neumayer L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Neumayer L.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Squire H.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+108 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1490
6.4Overall Elo 1621
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1511
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
7.68 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Neumayer L.Squire H.
Freshness·Slight edge
83
94

Neumayer L.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 52 games (7d) · Squire H.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw