Katie Volynets vs Elizabeth MandlikNewport Quarter-final

Newport · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#89WTA
1786ELO
1648Grass ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 10 July 2026 ·
grass
#175WTA
1530ELO
1515Grass ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWWW
Volynets K.
3-6 6-4 6-3
Mandlik E.
Volynets K.
3662
Mandlik E.
6431

Katie Volynets defeated Elizabeth Mandlik in the quarterfinals of the Newport grass tournament, 3-6, 6-4, 6-3. Volynets converted 55% of her break points and won six service breaks to Mandlik's five. Mandlik hit four aces and committed four double faults in the match.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-02-24W25 Boca RatonR32hardKatie Volynets6-3 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
76%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
47%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (50 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
14
29
Break points saved·Even
10
11
Break points won·Even
94
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
7
71
Tiebreaks·Even
17
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Volynets K.80%
Mandlik E.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Volynets K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.7+133 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Grass Elo 1515
8.2Overall Elo 1786
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1530
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
7.37 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
92

Volynets K.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Mandlik E.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw