Maks Kasnikowski vs Jerome KymIasi Quarter-final

Iasi · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#234ATP
1400ELO
1418Clay ELO
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 10 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#179ATP
1599ELO
1529Clay ELO
$98kYTD
$740kCAREER
23 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Kasnikowski M.
6-4 0-6 3-6
Kym J.
Kasnikowski M.
6031
Kym J.
4662

Jerome Kym defeated Maks Kasnikowski in the quarterfinals of the Iasi tournament on clay, winning 4-6, 6-0, 6-3. Kym hit 4 aces to Kasnikowski's 2 and converted 80% of his break points, compared to Kasnikowski's 25%. Kym won 76% of his first-serve points to Kasnikowski's 60%, and secured 4 service breaks to Kasnikowski's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
78%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
11.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
14
36
Break points saved·Dominant
56
91
Break points won·Slight edge
16
21
Deciding sets·Even
19
17
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Kasnikowski M.23%
Kym J.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kym J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Clay Elo 1418
Surface ELO
6.4+111 Clay Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1400
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1598
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.76 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
88

Kasnikowski M.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Kym J.: 9 days rest · 5 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw