Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic — Wimbledon Semi-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Semi-final
Jannik Sinner
ITA1
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2088Grass ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
3 — 0
Sets
Friday, 10 July 2026 ·
grass
Centre Court · 2nd on
Novak Djokovic
SRB7
Novak Djokovic
#5ATP
2059ELO
1925Grass ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Sinner J.
6-4 6-4 6-4
Djokovic N.
Sinner J.
6663
Djokovic N.
4440

Jannik Sinner defeated Novak Djokovic in the semifinals of Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 6-4, 6-4, 6-4. Sinner hit 10 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Djokovic had 6 aces and 3 double faults. Sinner converted 25% of his break points and broke Djokovic's serve three times en route to the victory.

Key context

  • Match story: Jannik Sinner edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

5–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenSFhardNovak Djokovic3-6 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4
2025-06-30WimbledonSFgrassJannik Sinner6-3 6-3 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosSFclayJannik Sinner6-4 7-5 7-6
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersFhardJannik Sinner7-6 6-3
2024-01-15Australian OpenSFhardJannik Sinner6-1 6-2 6-7 6-3
2023-11-13Tour FinalsFhardNovak Djokovic6-3 6-3
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardJannik Sinner7-5 6-7 7-6
2023-07-03WimbledonSFgrassNovak Djokovic6-3 6-4 7-6
2022-06-27WimbledonQFgrassNovak Djokovic5-7 2-6 6-3 6-2 6-2
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersR32clayNovak Djokovic6-4 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Sinner J.Djokovic N.
1st serve in·Even
65%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
81%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
58%
57%
Service points won·Even
73%
69%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
70%
69%
Aces / match·Slight edge
10.4
9.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sinner J.Djokovic N.
Clutch Rating·Even
99
100
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
100
100
Tiebreaks·Even
100
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Sinner J.89%
Djokovic N.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sinner J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sinner J.
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Djokovic N.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+163 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Grass Elo 1925
8.3Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 2059
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
10.010 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
9.29 of last 10 on grass
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.05 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.05 three-setters in 14 days
6.9Won 81% in United Kingdom (32)
Country comfort
7.4Won 90% in United Kingdom (126)
Context
Defending pts
8.5Reached the semis here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sinner J.Djokovic N.
Freshness·
—
86

Djokovic N.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 36%

Draw