Valentin Royer vs Taro DanielIasi Quarter-final

Iasi · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#78ATP
1641ELO
1606Clay ELO
$521kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 10 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#186ATP
1567ELO
1542Clay ELO
$64kYTD
$5.1MCAREER
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
Royer V.
4-6 6-2 6-2
Daniel T.
Royer V.
4662
Daniel T.
6221

Valentin Royer defeated Taro Daniel in the quarterfinals of the Iasi tournament on clay, winning 4-6, 6-2, 6-2. Royer hit 5 aces and committed 0 double faults, while Daniel hit 6 aces and 6 double faults. Royer converted 35% of his break points and won 7 service breaks, compared to Daniel's 57% conversion rate and 4 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersQ1clayValentin Royer6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.5
3.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
59
20
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
77
Break points won·Even
30
34
Deciding sets·Dominant
76
8
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
62
52

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Royer V.69%
Daniel T.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Royer V. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+64 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1542
5.9Overall Elo 1641
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1567
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
5.85 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
9.49 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
10.09-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 9 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
70
69

Royer V.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d) · Daniel T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw