Liam Broady vs Alex Michelsen — Newport Quarter-final

Newport · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
Liam Broady
GBR
Liam Broady
#201ATP
1590ELO
1504Grass ELO
$89kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 10 July 2026 ·
grass
Alex Michelsen
USA2
Alex Michelsen
#41ATP
1825ELO
1710Grass ELO
$797kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Broady L.
3-6 6-7
Michelsen A.
Broady L.
360
Michelsen A.
672

Alex Michelsen defeated Liam Broady in the quarterfinals of the Newport grass tournament. Michelsen won 6-3, 7-6, with Michelsen recording 2 aces and 2 double faults, and Broady recording 3 aces and 0 double faults. Michelsen converted 33% of break points and broke Broady's serve twice, while Broady broke Michelsen's serve once.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Broady L.Michelsen A.
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.8
6.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Broady L.Michelsen A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
40
62
Break points saved·Clear edge
74
92
Break points won·Clear edge
17
32
Deciding sets·Even
77
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
46
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Broady L.19%
Michelsen A.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Michelsen A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Broady L.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Michelsen A.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.4Grass Elo 1504
Surface ELO
7.6+206 Grass Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1590
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1825
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Broady L.Michelsen A.
Freshness·Clear edge
95
80

Broady L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Michelsen A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw