Raul Brancaccio vs Matej DodigTrieste Quarter-final

Trieste · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#232ATP
1492ELO
1465Clay ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 10 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#251ATP
1461ELO
1430Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
Brancaccio R.
6-7 1-6
Dodig M.
Brancaccio R.
610
Dodig M.
762

Matej Dodig defeated Raul Brancaccio in the quarterfinals of the Trieste tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 6-1. Dodig hit 7 aces and 2 double faults, while Brancaccio hit 5 aces and 5 double faults. Dodig converted 83% of his break points and won 5 service breaks to Brancaccio's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Matej Dodig came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.1
4.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
11
33
Break points saved·Dominant
49
76
Break points won·Clear edge
19
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
47
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
51
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Brancaccio R.50%
Dodig M.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+35 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1430
5.4Overall Elo 1492
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1461
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.65 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.45 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
81

Brancaccio R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 38 games (7d) · Dodig M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw