Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli — Trieste Quarter-final

Trieste · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
SUIQ
Henry Bernet
#436ATP
1372ELO
1353Clay ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 10 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 4 · 4th on
ITAALT
Federico Bondioli
#295ATP
1387ELO
1378Clay ELO
21 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLLL
Bernet H.
2-6 7-6 6-3
Bondioli F.
Bernet H.
2762
Bondioli F.
6631

Henry Bernet defeated Federico Bondioli in the quarterfinals of the Trieste tournament on clay. Bernet won 2-6, 7-6, 6-3. Bernet hit 8 aces to Bondioli's 2 and converted 75% of break points, advancing to the next round.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Bernet H.Bondioli F.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
52%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Bernet H.41%
Bondioli F.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bondioli F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bernet H.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Bondioli F.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1353
Surface ELO
5.3+25 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1372
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1387
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.45 of last 10 on clay
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
28°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw