Bernard Tomic vs Adam Walton — Newport Round of 16

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Bernard Tomic
AUS
Bernard Tomic
#164ATP
1475ELO
1497Grass ELO
$117kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
grass
Adam Walton
AUS4
Adam Walton
#98ATP
1703ELO
1565Grass ELO
$531kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWL
Tomic B.
4-6 6-4 2-6
Walton A.
Tomic B.
4621
Walton A.
6462

Adam Walton defeated Bernard Tomic 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the Newport grass-court tournament. Walton hit 12 aces to Tomic's 2 and converted 57% of his break points, compared to Tomic's 40%. Walton won 4 service breaks to Tomic's 2 en route to the victory.

Key context

  • Match story: Adam Walton closed it out in three sets, 6–4 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Tomic B.Walton A.
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
6.7
Double faults / match·Even
1.3
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Tomic B.Walton A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
53
40
Break points saved·Even
88
92
Break points won·Even
8
8
Deciding sets·Even
83
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
83
2

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Tomic B.18%
Walton A.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Walton A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tomic B.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Walton A.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.1Grass Elo 1497
Surface ELO
5.9+68 Grass Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1474
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1703
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.76 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.64 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tomic B.Walton A.
Freshness·Dominant
89
64

Tomic B.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Walton A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw