Iryna Shymanovich vs Mary StoianaNewport Round of 16

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#192WTA
1542ELO
1476Grass ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
grass
#130WTA
1656ELO
1598Grass ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
Shymanovich I.
6-3 2-6 3-6
Stoiana M.
Shymanovich I.
6231
Stoiana M.
3662

Mary Stoiana defeated Iryna Shymanovich in the Round of 16 at the Newport grass tournament. Stoiana won 3-6, 6-2, 6-3. Stoiana served one ace and four double faults, while Shymanovich served no aces and five double faults; Stoiana converted 56 percent of break points to Shymanovich's 27 percent.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23W100 Charlottesville 1R32clayIryna Shymanovich6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 47). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Shymanovich I.29%
Stoiana M.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Stoiana M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.5Grass Elo 1476
Surface ELO
6.5+123 Grass Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1542
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1656
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
7.17 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
93

Shymanovich I.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Stoiana M.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw