Lucrezia Stefanini vs Anna Sinclair RogersNewport Round of 16

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#142WTA
1527ELO
1492Grass ELO
28 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
grass
#313WTA
1283ELO
1328Grass ELO
28 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWLW
Stefanini L.
6-2 6-1
Sinclair Rogers A.
Stefanini L.
662
Sinclair Rogers A.
210

Lucrezia Stefanini defeated Anna Sinclair Rogers 6-2, 6-1 in the Round of 16 at the Newport grass tournament. Stefanini converted 42% of her break points and won five service breaks to Rogers' one. Stefanini did not hit an ace and committed one double fault, while Rogers hit one ace and also committed one double fault.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
76%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
54%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
44%
Service points won·Even
51%
52%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
52%
51%
Aces / match·Even
0.7
0.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Stefanini L.85%
Sinclair Rogers A.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Stefanini L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0+164 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Grass Elo 1328
8.1Overall Elo 1527
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1283
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
5.96 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
81

Stefanini L.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw