Mei Yamaguchi vs Greet MinnenNewport Round of 32

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#261WTA
1448ELO
1376Grass ELO
27 yrs · 152 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
grass
#178WTA
1723ELO
1678Grass ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
Yamaguchi M.
5-7 3-6
Minnen G.
Yamaguchi M.
530
Minnen G.
762

Greet Minnen defeated Mei Yamaguchi in the Round of 32 at the Newport grass tournament, winning 7-5, 6-3. Minnen and Yamaguchi were tied with zero aces, but Minnen had more double faults, 7 to 5. Minnen converted 67% of her break points and had 8 service breaks to Yamaguchi's 5.

Key context

  • Match story: Greet Minnen closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Yamaguchi M.11%
Minnen G.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Minnen G. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.2Grass Elo 1376
Surface ELO
8.8+302 Grass Elo edge
1.6Overall Elo 1448
ELO gap
8.4Overall Elo 1722
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Hard → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Minnen G.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw