Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Lea Ma — Newport Round of 16

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
THA6
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
#105WTA
1696ELO
1592Grass ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
grass
USA
Lea Ma
#288WTA
1383ELO
1344Grass ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWLWW
Sawangkaew M.
6-2 6-3
Ma L.
Sawangkaew M.
662
Ma L.
230

Mananchaya Sawangkaew defeated Lea Ma 6-2, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the Newport grass tournament. Sawangkaew hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, converting 46% of break points and winning 85% of first-serve points. She broke Ma's serve 6 times, compared to Ma's 2 breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Sawangkaew M.Ma L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
47%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
59%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (58 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Sawangkaew M.85%
Ma L.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sawangkaew M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sawangkaew M.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Ma L.
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.1+248 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.9Grass Elo 1344
8.9Overall Elo 1696
ELO gap
1.1Overall Elo 1383
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.27 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sawangkaew M.Ma L.
Freshness·
79
—

Sawangkaew M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw