Jason Jung vs Alex Michelsen — Newport Round of 16

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Jason Jung
TPE
Jason Jung
#908ATP
1420ELO
1417Grass ELO
37 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
grass
Alex Michelsen
USA2
Alex Michelsen
#41ATP
1825ELO
1710Grass ELO
$797kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Jung J.
1-6 3-6
Michelsen A.
Jung J.
130
Michelsen A.
662

Alex Michelsen defeated Jason Jung in the Round of 16 at the Newport grass tournament, winning 6-1, 6-3. Michelsen hit 4 aces and converted 71% of his break points, while Jung converted 20%. Michelsen won 70% of his first-serve points and broke Jung's serve 5 times, compared to 1 break for Jung.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Jung J.Michelsen A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
72%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
39%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
40%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.3
6.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Jung J.Michelsen A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
62
Break points saved·Dominant
47
92
Break points won·Clear edge
14
32
Deciding sets·Dominant
14
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
22
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Jung J.8%
Michelsen A.92%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Michelsen A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Jung J.
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Michelsen A.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
1.3Grass Elo 1417
Surface ELO
8.7+293 Grass Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1420
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1825
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.26 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Jung J.Michelsen A.
Freshness·
—
84

Michelsen A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw