Francesca Jones vs Leolia JeanjeanContrexeville Round of 16

Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#104WTA
1619ELO
1621Clay ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
clay
#117WTA
1653ELO
1620Clay ELO
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Jones F.
6-1 4-6 5-7
Jeanjean L.
Jones F.
6451
Jeanjean L.
1672

Leolia Jeanjean defeated Francesca Jones in the Round of 16 at Contrexeville, coming back from a set down to win 1-6, 6-4, 7-5. The match saw both players converting 5 service breaks, with Jeanjean having a slight edge in first-serve win percentage and break points converted. Jeanjean hit 2 aces and 10 double faults, while Jones had 1 ace and 2 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-30W75 Vacaria 1FclayFrancesca Jones1-6 6-4 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
55%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
3.1
Double faults / match·Even
3.6
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
76
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
75
Break points won·Slight edge
96
90
Deciding sets·Clear edge
70
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
89
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Jones F.38%
Jeanjean L.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Jeanjean L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+1 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Clay Elo 1620
4.6Overall Elo 1619
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1653
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
89

Jones F.: 18 days rest · Jeanjean L.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 31%

Draw